If you think charts and graphs are boring, you might pass on this article. If you care for a picture of how unemployment might hurt President Obama’s reelection, you should probably deal with the charts and think about the images they convey. The Republicans are not going to help with the nation’s economy because the economy is their political leverage for 2012. If you know Bush/Cheney was bad, think about the prospects for 2012.
Occupy Wall Street is making committed sacrifices, at least you and me can, “Educate, Postulate and Agitate”.
![](https://i0.wp.com/www.leg.state.mn.us/docs/2010/mandated/100425/Minnesota%20Milestones/www.demography.state.mn.us/milestones/images/38-MinnesotaUnemploymentRate-iStock_000009319445XSmall.jpg)
Unemployment in the United States remains at the 9.0% level. High unemployment levels have been election killers for all past administration with above 7.0 percent unemployment. It is impossible today to find any media without hosts and pundits are not discussing the possible election doom of the Obama Administration.
Should the Democratic Party even run a candidate for the Presidency in 2012? Why bother?
Can President Obama win re-election with an unemployment rate above 8 percent? I believe that rate will drop to 8.5 % just about the time the two parties go into their fall conventions. Even, the 8.5 % is a dire employment statistics when you think about the number of people who are part of documented unemployed. But, 8.5 % is a reach from the 9.0 % last month: October 2011.
Of course, President Obama will run for reelection. Of course, the Democrats will win some seats in the 112th Congress. The Left can win in 2012 if, and only, if they continue efforts to pass a jobs bill while boldly publicizing efforts from the Right to stifle their efforts. A straightforward approach to the unemployment picture including all obstructionist efforts from the Right will pay dividends in the Fall of 2012.
Of course, I am going write about nothing the powerful minds who lead the Democrats through elections will not explore.
The United Kingdom publication The Guardian publishes an interactive “Jobless” Map of the United States. The map is shows U.S unemployment since January 2009 . The map represents data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Environment for Review
The Guardians DATA BLOG
US jobless mapped: unemployment state by state across America
Roger Simon, The Guardian-UK Map…
Which states have been hardest hit by unemployment?
Where are jobs scarcest?
We’ve mapped the official data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showing the percentage of people unemployed. Click on a state to explore it – or click the drop-down menu to choose ways of seeing the data and how it’s changed
The Guardian Data is linked and not available for visuals here. For purpose of direct viewing I am posting a graph from the Economic Populist website.
As stated above the October unemployment rate dropped a meager .01% during the month of October (depicted below).
The Economic Populist
Submitted by Robert Oak on Fri, 11/04/2011 – 11:12
The October 2011 monthly unemployment figures show the official unemployment rate dropped -0.1 percentage points to 9.0% and the total jobs gained were 80,000. Total private jobs came in at 104,000. Government jobs dropped -24,000. 15,000 of those jobs added were temporary.
A Backstory
As the Bush Administration crumbled under the pressure of a financial collapse comparable only to pre-Great Depression recession the unemployment rate started to climb. About the time that John McCain declared the economy was “fundamentally sound”, the unemployment rate was at an enviable rate of less than 6.0 percent. Bush Administration started to experience job losses of the 500,000 to 750,000 over a one month period in late 2008 and early 2009. The unemployment rate climbed from 7.6 % as President Elect Obama took office on January 20, 2009. The rate peaked at just over 10 % in October of 2009.
While it is a horror story for many Americans and I state it here for no purpose other than perspective, the current unemployment rate is 1.4 % higher than the day President Obama took the oath of office.
Evidence that the GOP is using the unemployed as a political game chip is almost irrefutable. The unemployment rate directly impacts the unemployed’s basic human need for life-sustaining employment in a capitalist economic system. Our economic systems is such that able people who do not work receive no income, thus no opportunity for a proper life. The undesirable state of unemployment is by no means a surprise as a political issue; deplorable but nor surprising.
After the inauguration of President Obama the nations job losses reversed from the spiraling ‘celestial black hole’ of the previous 1.5 years of the Bush Years. The following chart spans a period from December 2007 (the period of Bush’s denied recession) through January 2010. My reason for choosing this chart is the period between December (the month the Bush Administration admitted the recession) and April 2009, job losses reversed.
A more comprehensive Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) look at unemployment for Bush/Obama over an extended period back to January, 2001.
![](https://reflectionsofarationalrepublican.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bush-vs-obama-total-private-jobs-full-picture-april-data.jpg?w=640&h=561)
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NOTE: Private Sector Job losses
Reasons for the immediate ‘job loss’ bleed-letting escaped me. I like most Americans was pleased with the slow job loss reversal; the reason was of no significance (during the turn-around period). Factually, something significant took place and companies slowed in releasing employees.
Since I piqued my curiosity with the last paragraph, I conducted a Google search with the following question, “Why did the job losses from the Bush years stop when Obama was elected president?”
The following link was mixed-in with many links related to the Bush Years: President Elect Obama’s Office. The information was published before Obama took office but it lays-out pre-inauguration overview of strategies for the economy. The U.S. Political process includes a void of information transfer between administrations until a few months before the newly elected president takes the Oval Office. I often wonder if the Obama Administration completely underestimated the damage done to the economy by eight years of Bush Administration mishandling. While it would be easy (and simple) to lay such fault on the Obama team, I doubt anyone in the nation knew the extent ofeventual hemorrhaging from the Bush Administration.
I find the President Elect’s information interesting but I doubt the plans contributed to the immediate turn-around in job losses. It would be more likely that companies stooped hiring during last years of the Bush Administration based on an economy that was not fundamentally sound. Aminitial thought might be, “well that is the problem with the Obama Administration and jobs.”, I think not, I think obstructionism is a major contributor to an unemployment that is stuck higher then 8 percent.
Where are the current job losses?
Think Progress’s Matthew Yglesias suggests that job losses in the Public (Government) Sector is a major contributor to the current high unemployment rate.
So should we blame today’s bad jobs numbers on Barack Obama’s big government policies? Again, I doubt it. What we continue to see are decent—though not great—private sector job numbers offset by tumbling public sector employment:
For a while temporary census-related jobs masked the underlying trend, but we’ve been steadily shedding government work. Maybe you think that’s a good thing. Certainly most of President Obama’s critics from the right claim to believe it’s a good thing. But what happens when you shed public sector jobs amidst an already weak economic climate is the sharply reduced incomes of the former teachers and whatnot lead to them spending less in their local communities. In total, we have about 500,000 fewer people working for the government since Obama’s inauguration even though the national population is larger than it used to be.
And, yes, Yglesias updates the article with the following information aboutprivate sector job losses.
UPDATE
Article excerpt…….
The new numbers are the weakest in over a year, and further evidence that the economy is in desperate need of a boost. It can’t get that boost, of course, because congressional Republicans refuse to consider anything other than austerity measures, which necessarily make unemployment worse.
And with that, here’s a different homemade chart, showing monthly job losses/gains in the private sector since the start of the Great Recession. The image makes a distinction — red columns point to monthly job totals under the Bush administration, while blue columns point to job totals under the Obama administration. (The chart is now smaller to fit the redesigned website.)
What is a president to do?
As Benen stated in his article, and as you and I know, Republican obstructionism is at an all-time high. The House passed a piece of legislation reinforcing garbage, such as “in GOD We Trust”, when the national motto has stood for over 250 years without question. Yet, that same body will pass no jobs related legislation. In many cases not brought-up for vote. The House has also used unemployment payments as fodder for negotiations related to avoiding raising taxes on the nation’s wealthy.
If local, state and federal government job losses contribute in any way contribute to the 9.0 % unemployment rate, what can the president do about that government job reductions? Besides, how can the Obama Administration policies contribute to public job losses.
I am no economist but I cannot find cause to attribute public sector job losses in anything other than a down-economy. An economy that slid almost too far for recovery in 2007/2008. Of course, President Obama’s improvement strategies so far have only kept the economy at he a ‘ just above the water’ state of the economy; signification improvement has not been forthcoming.
Hindsight is usually worth nothing but as we look to 2012, a look back has value.
The Stimulus
What happened from the Stimulus (American Recovery and Reinvestment Act 2009). The stimulus was cut from the proposed $1.2 Trillion to $760 billion despite GOP talking-points about the Stimulus did not work. Some economist believe that it helped to ward-off continue economic decay. How many elected GOP officials to photos with those extra-large (Photo op) stimulus checks?
Obstructionism
I will not spend words on comments from McConnell, De Mint, Cantor and others about ‘dooming’ the Obama Administration based on no-support for his proposal or initiatives. You know those stories and they stand for all of history to archive.
Yet, it is clear that the GOP votes in solidarity blocks regardless of vote outcome and their voting blocks have not helped to ease the unemployment rate.
Before the end of July 2011, the Democrats in the House introduced 10 Jobs Bills; the Republicans in the that chamber voted ‘no’ on each bill. The house also voted ‘no’ to the president’s American Jobs Act. They House and Senate Republicans (plus Blue Dog Dems and one Independent ) continue to vote no on parts of the bill.
A 1 % mindset
The only mention of jobs from the GOP emanates from ‘disclaimer’ sound bits from House leaders and McConnell from the Senate. It is not an active part of any GOP debates, it is not an item that GOP candidates want to bring-up in interviews. Even the one candidate who tries to guide interviewers to topics, Santorum, has avoided the jobs issue.
Occupy Wall Street has ‘jobs;’ as one of their grievances. Yet, Right-wing media is busily labeling the OWS as un-American and other less complimentary adjectives.
I am reading and hearing there are companies in the Untied States that are advertising to hire and placing the following words in the ads,“Unemployed Need not apply”.
![](https://i0.wp.com/www.economicpopulist.org/files/u1/unemployonly.jpg)
How indicative is that of the OWS’s anti 1% stance? How outside of the American mainstream is that insensitivity and callousness? Those words aresickening elitist more so than an indication of political posturing. such posturing, however, is as certainly ass our 24 hour rotation of the Sun.
If an issue as serious as the unemployed becomes and issue of political posturing, it does not speak well for those of us who have elected the representative.
The President and his Re-election Team
I do not see how Obama and his team can avoid attacking issues of the unemployed from a perspective of what “we have done and what we have tried to do“.
* What would the unemployment rate be if the President had not fought for loans to our Automobile industry.
* Publicize position statements on how the American Jobs Act could, or would, have helped the economy.
* Continue to force taxation issue for those who are not ‘f contributing to the financial well-being of the nation.
* Face-up-to and fess-up-to mistakes about unemployment. Frankly state the economist who said, and apparently convinced high level officials that, the stimulus would hold unemployment at eight per cent was a clear of under-estimation mistake and lesson learned.
* Somehow find a method to express to the nation that despite the rise to over 10 % unemployment was reduced to just over 9 percent. A strategy that should accompany the reality that as he took office the president faced unemployment at 7.6%; thus we have 1.4% difference of today.
laissez-faire approaches to the GOP lead to loss elections. we performed an act in 2000 that resembles the image below. We can ill afford to pull another Trojan Horse over the nation.
![](https://i0.wp.com/www.securitynewsdaily.com/images/stories/trojan-horse-painting-02.jpg)
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Do not open the Gates, and allow it again!